COLA Benefit

Target year

2027 COLA

Official 2027 COLA

Pending

Pending

Q3 CPI-W progress

1/3 months

Latest verified CPI-W

July 2026: 327.104

Displayed scenario

3.5%

ProjectedIllustrative midpoint of displayed range

Open CPI-W tracker

Pending

2027 COLA CPI-W tracker

SSA uses unadjusted CPI-W series CWUR0000SA0. Third-quarter months are July, August, and September. A percentage is calculated only after all three published values exist, and it remains unconfirmed until SSA announces the COLA.

July’s 3.4% year-over-year CPI-W change is not the 2027 COLA. July is only the first of three Q3 readings.

Latest verified CPI-W

327.104

July 2026 CPI-W 327.104 — verified BLS source data, not a 2027 COLA.

Prior Q3 benchmark

317.265

Q3 2025 average used in the last official COLA.

Q3 CPI-W progress

1 of 3

CPI-W third-quarter progress

1/3

July 2026

Verified

327.104

August 2026

Pending

Awaiting release

September 2026

Pending

Awaiting release

Previous relevant Q3 CPI-W average: 317.265

Only one Q3 month is published. This is progress only — not a COLA estimate.

Formula reminder

Calculated COLA = round(((current Q3 average ÷ previous Q3 average) − 1) × 100, 1 decimal). If the index does not rise, the COLA is 0.0%.

How COLA is calculated · 2027 hub · Social Security COLA calculator

AgencyU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Dataset / valueCPI-W (CWUR0000SA0)

Reference periodJuly 2026 CPI-W published; August and September pending

CPI-W series CWUR0000SA0 (not seasonally adjusted). July 2026 CPI-W is 327.104.

View official source

AgencySocial Security Administration

Dataset / valueOfficial Social Security COLA

Primary source for official COLA, formula, history, and SSI federal amounts. Next COLA to be announced in October 2026; exact SSA date not yet confirmed.

View official source
Is July's 3.4% CPI-W year-over-year increase the 2027 COLA?

No. July is only one of three Q3 readings.

What data determines the COLA?

The official calculation uses the CPI-W, specifically the average for July, August and September compared with the previous applicable third-quarter average.

  1. 2026-08-12

    July 2026 CPI-W published

    BLS published July 2026 CPI-W at 327.104. This is the first of three Q3 readings used for the 2027 COLA calculation.

    Related page
  2. 2026-08-12

    2027 published forecast range updated to 3.4%–3.6%

    Current tracked estimates: Mary Johnson 3.4%, AARP 3.5%, TSCL 3.6%. These are named forecasts, not an official COLA and not a COLA Benefit house forecast.

    Related page
  3. 2026-06-09

    2027 Medicare Part B Trustees projection updated

    The 2026 Medicare Trustees Report estimates the 2027 standard Part B monthly premium at $209.50. This is a projection, not the final CMS premium.

    Related page
  4. 2025-10-24

    2026 Social Security COLA announced at 2.8%

    SSA announced the official 2026 COLA on Oct. 24, 2025. It was computed from Q3 2025 CPI-W (317.265) versus Q3 2024 CPI-W (308.729).

    Related page

Browser pages never fetch BLS directly. New CPI-W values enter pending review and are not auto-published.